Every thesis is entered into a timestamped public ledger before the market resolves it. Then it is scored against what actually happened.
Most market commentary disappears into the feed. Successful calls get screenshotted. Failed calls get forgotten. Vague predictions become “basically right.” Conditional scenarios are claimed after the fact.
Receipts First works differently. The rules are set before the result. The original claim remains visible after it. You can inspect the timestamp, conditions, horizon, benchmark and final score yourself.
Every claim is timestamped before its resolution window. No retroactive entries. No edited predictions. No “this is what we really meant.”
A stock rising during a broad market rally does not automatically count as skill. Directional calls are judged using market-adjusted returns.
Conditional claims only count when the stated condition actually occurs. An unfired branch is void — not quietly added to the win column.
The scorecard is the entire record. Not a highlight reel. Not a testimonial page. Not a collection of our favourite screenshots.
Markets are uncertain. We publish probabilities, ranges and confidence intervals because false precision is still false.
Just dated claims, stated conditions and measurable outcomes. We do not ask you to trust the confidence of the person delivering the forecast. We give you the record.
One email every Monday. Inside:
No daily dopamine feed. No manufactured urgency.
Read the file. Inspect the evidence. Decide for yourself.